St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions
The St. Louis Cardinals (13-14) and New York Mets (13-13) wrap up a 3-game series Sunday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Cardinals vs. Metsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Cardinals lead 2-0
The Cardinals picked up a 7-4 win Saturday as moderate -135 favorites with the Over (7.5) cashing. In Friday's opener, St. Louis posted a 4-2 victory as a +110 underdog and the Under (7.5) hit.
St. Louis has won 3 in a row and 4 of the past 5. The Under holds a 4-2 edge in the past 6 contests overall, while the Under is 5-2 in the past 7 road outings for the Cardinals.
The Mets have dropped 5 of the past 6 games, while scoring 2 or fewer runs in 4 of those outings. The Under holds a slight 3-2 edge in the Mets' past 5 outings. Despite the 2 losses in this series, New York is still 6-3 in the past 9 home games.
Cardinals at Mets projected starters
RHP Lance Lynn vs. LHP Jose Quintana
Lynn (1-0, 2.81 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 5-3 home victory vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Monday
- 2024 road splits: 1-0, 0.82 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 2 BB, 6 K in 11 IP across 2 starts
Quintana (1-2, 4.21 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 25 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 3 BB, 4 K in 5-2 setback at San Francisco Giants Monday
- 2023 home splits: 0-1, 2.79 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 5 BB, 8 K, .278 opponents' batting average (OBA) in 2 starts
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Cardinals at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Cardinals -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Cardinals -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Cardinals at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Cardinals 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
The CARDINALS (-105) are a solid play as short underdogs in the series finale. St. Louis has been on a roll lately, sans for a 14-1 loss at home against Arizona Tuesday.
The Mets (-115) have dropped 5 of the past 6 games, while posting 2 or fewer runs in 4 of those outings.
Run line/Against the spread
The Mets +1.5 (-190) will cost nearly 2 times your potential return, and that's way too much risk for not enough reward, if you require insurance, and you just cannot bring yourself to play New York straight up in the series finale.
AVOID and focus on the moneyline.
Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 5 games for the Mets, with New York cobbling together 4 or fewer runs in 5 of the past 6 outings. While that sounds great for potential Unders, the pitching staff has coughed up 4 or more runs in 7 of the previous 8 contests.
The Cardinals have hit the Under in 4 of the past 6 games, and the total has gone low at a 9-4 clip in the past 13 outings.
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